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Weekly Research — Verdad
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2025

Mar 3, 2025 株主価値最大化の鍵はバランスシートの適正化にあり Mar 3, 2025
Mar 3, 2025 Unlocking Shareholder Value in Japanese Balance Sheets Mar 3, 2025
Feb 24, 2025 Skewness and Kurtosis Feb 24, 2025
Feb 18, 2025 On Foreign Exchange Feb 18, 2025
Feb 10, 2025 AI and the Mag 7 Feb 10, 2025
Feb 4, 2025 The Humble Investor (publication day) Feb 4, 2025
Feb 3, 2025 US Exceptionalism and Changes Abroad Feb 3, 2025
Jan 27, 2025 Explaining International Valuations Jan 27, 2025
Jan 21, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance (Part II) Jan 21, 2025
Jan 13, 2025 2024 in Factors Jan 13, 2025
Jan 6, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance Jan 6, 2025

2025

Mar 3, 2025 株主価値最大化の鍵はバランスシートの適正化にあり Mar 3, 2025
Feb 3, 2025 US Exceptionalism and Changes Abroad Feb 3, 2025
Jan 27, 2025 Explaining International Valuations Jan 27, 2025
Jan 21, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance (Part II) Jan 21, 2025
Jan 13, 2025 2024 in Factors Jan 13, 2025
Jan 6, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance Jan 6, 2025

2025

Feb 3, 2025 US Exceptionalism and Changes Abroad Feb 3, 2025
Jan 27, 2025 Explaining International Valuations Jan 27, 2025
Jan 21, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance (Part II) Jan 21, 2025
Jan 13, 2025 2024 in Factors Jan 13, 2025
Jan 6, 2025 The Accuracy and Importance of Growth Guidance Jan 6, 2025

2024

Dec 16, 2024 Persistent Alpha Dec 16, 2024
Dec 9, 2024 The Humble Investor Dec 9, 2024
Dec 2, 2024 Thank You Dec 2, 2024
Nov 18, 2024 Shorting Credit Nov 18, 2024
Nov 12, 2024 Short-Term vs. Long-Term Forecasts Nov 12, 2024
Nov 4, 2024 Bloated Balance Sheets in Japan Nov 4, 2024
Oct 28, 2024 Industry Is Not Destiny Oct 28, 2024
Oct 21, 2024 The Small Cap Amplifier Oct 21, 2024
Oct 15, 2024 Buybacks for US, Dividends for EU Oct 15, 2024
Oct 7, 2024 Human Error Is Predictable Oct 7, 2024
Sep 30, 2024 Rate Cuts: Bonds Back in Play? Sep 30, 2024
Sep 23, 2024 Sep 23, 2024
Sep 16, 2024 Forecastability and Portfolio Optimization Sep 16, 2024
Sep 9, 2024 Diversifying Equity Portfolios Sep 9, 2024
Sep 3, 2024 The Great Rotation Sep 3, 2024
Aug 19, 2024 Activism at Scale in Japan Aug 19, 2024
Jun 17, 2024 The Penny Stock Anomaly Jun 17, 2024
Jun 10, 2024 A Changing Yield Curve Signal Jun 10, 2024
Jun 3, 2024 Meme Stonks Revisited Jun 3, 2024
May 28, 2024 Where the Value Investing Strategy Still Works May 28, 2024
May 20, 2024 The Gold Rally May 20, 2024
May 13, 2024 Sizing Private Equity Allocations May 13, 2024
May 6, 2024 Quality or Value – Why Not Both? May 6, 2024
Apr 29, 2024 Inflation Revisited Apr 29, 2024
Apr 22, 2024 Japan's Stealth Profit Boom Apr 22, 2024
Apr 15, 2024 The Missing Billionaires Apr 15, 2024
Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

Dec 16, 2024 Persistent Alpha Dec 16, 2024
Dec 9, 2024 The Humble Investor Dec 9, 2024
Dec 2, 2024 Thank You Dec 2, 2024
Nov 18, 2024 Shorting Credit Nov 18, 2024
Nov 12, 2024 Short-Term vs. Long-Term Forecasts Nov 12, 2024
Nov 4, 2024 Bloated Balance Sheets in Japan Nov 4, 2024
Oct 28, 2024 Industry Is Not Destiny Oct 28, 2024
Oct 21, 2024 The Small Cap Amplifier Oct 21, 2024
Oct 15, 2024 Buybacks for US, Dividends for EU Oct 15, 2024
Oct 7, 2024 Human Error Is Predictable Oct 7, 2024
Sep 30, 2024 Rate Cuts: Bonds Back in Play? Sep 30, 2024
Sep 23, 2024 Sep 23, 2024
Sep 16, 2024 Forecastability and Portfolio Optimization Sep 16, 2024
Sep 9, 2024 Diversifying Equity Portfolios Sep 9, 2024
Sep 3, 2024 The Great Rotation Sep 3, 2024
Aug 19, 2024 Activism at Scale in Japan Aug 19, 2024
Aug 12, 2024 On the Brink? Aug 12, 2024
Aug 5, 2024 Classifying Economic Regimes Aug 5, 2024
Jul 29, 2024 Analogous Market Moments Jul 29, 2024
Jul 22, 2024 The Rise of Alternatives Jul 22, 2024
Jul 15, 2024 Neglecting Equilibrium Jul 15, 2024
Jul 8, 2024 The American Liquidity Advantage Jul 8, 2024
Jun 24, 2024 The Calm Before the Storm Jun 24, 2024
Jun 17, 2024 The Penny Stock Anomaly Jun 17, 2024
Jun 10, 2024 A Changing Yield Curve Signal Jun 10, 2024
Jun 3, 2024 Meme Stonks Revisited Jun 3, 2024
May 28, 2024 Where the Value Investing Strategy Still Works May 28, 2024
May 20, 2024 The Gold Rally May 20, 2024
May 13, 2024 Sizing Private Equity Allocations May 13, 2024
May 6, 2024 Quality or Value – Why Not Both? May 6, 2024
Apr 29, 2024 Inflation Revisited Apr 29, 2024
Apr 22, 2024 Japan's Stealth Profit Boom Apr 22, 2024
Apr 15, 2024 The Missing Billionaires Apr 15, 2024
Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

Sep 3, 2024 The Great Rotation Sep 3, 2024
Aug 19, 2024 Activism at Scale in Japan Aug 19, 2024
Jun 17, 2024 The Penny Stock Anomaly Jun 17, 2024
Jun 10, 2024 A Changing Yield Curve Signal Jun 10, 2024
Jun 3, 2024 Meme Stonks Revisited Jun 3, 2024
May 28, 2024 Where the Value Investing Strategy Still Works May 28, 2024
May 20, 2024 The Gold Rally May 20, 2024
May 13, 2024 Sizing Private Equity Allocations May 13, 2024
May 6, 2024 Quality or Value – Why Not Both? May 6, 2024
Apr 29, 2024 Inflation Revisited Apr 29, 2024
Apr 22, 2024 Japan's Stealth Profit Boom Apr 22, 2024
Apr 15, 2024 The Missing Billionaires Apr 15, 2024
Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

Jun 17, 2024 The Penny Stock Anomaly Jun 17, 2024
Jun 10, 2024 A Changing Yield Curve Signal Jun 10, 2024
Jun 3, 2024 Meme Stonks Revisited Jun 3, 2024
May 28, 2024 Where the Value Investing Strategy Still Works May 28, 2024
May 20, 2024 The Gold Rally May 20, 2024
May 13, 2024 Sizing Private Equity Allocations May 13, 2024
May 6, 2024 Quality or Value – Why Not Both? May 6, 2024
Apr 29, 2024 Inflation Revisited Apr 29, 2024
Apr 22, 2024 Japan's Stealth Profit Boom Apr 22, 2024
Apr 15, 2024 The Missing Billionaires Apr 15, 2024
Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

May 28, 2024 Where the Value Investing Strategy Still Works May 28, 2024
May 20, 2024 The Gold Rally May 20, 2024
May 13, 2024 Sizing Private Equity Allocations May 13, 2024
May 6, 2024 Quality or Value – Why Not Both? May 6, 2024
Apr 29, 2024 Inflation Revisited Apr 29, 2024
Apr 22, 2024 Japan's Stealth Profit Boom Apr 22, 2024
Apr 15, 2024 The Missing Billionaires Apr 15, 2024
Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

May 13, 2024 Sizing Private Equity Allocations May 13, 2024
May 6, 2024 Quality or Value – Why Not Both? May 6, 2024
Apr 29, 2024 Inflation Revisited Apr 29, 2024
Apr 22, 2024 Japan's Stealth Profit Boom Apr 22, 2024
Apr 15, 2024 The Missing Billionaires Apr 15, 2024
Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

Apr 1, 2024 Market Share & Profitability Apr 1, 2024
Mar 25, 2024 Verdad Interviews Mar 25, 2024
Mar 18, 2024 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals Mar 18, 2024
Mar 11, 2024 Sclerotic Small Caps? Mar 11, 2024
Mar 4, 2024 A Momentum Crash Course Mar 4, 2024
Feb 26, 2024 Rule, Britannia! Feb 26, 2024
Feb 20, 2024 Japan's Orphans Feb 20, 2024
Feb 12, 2024 Yield Is Not Return Feb 12, 2024
Jan 29, 2024 Valuing Japan's Reform Jan 29, 2024
Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

Jan 22, 2024 What does a yield buy? Jan 22, 2024
Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

Jan 16, 2024 Regional Growth & Equity Returns Jan 16, 2024
Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2024

Jan 8, 2024 Costly Shorts Jan 8, 2024
Jan 2, 2024 The Biotech Boneyard Jan 2, 2024

2023

Dec 18, 2023 The Persistence of Value & Growth Dec 18, 2023
Dec 11, 2023 The Dispersion Delusion Dec 11, 2023
Dec 4, 2023 The Quality of New Entrants Dec 4, 2023
Nov 20, 2023 Thank You Nov 20, 2023
Nov 13, 2023 The Death of Small Cap Equities? Nov 13, 2023
Nov 6, 2023 A Rule of Thumb for Terminal Valuation Multiples Nov 6, 2023
Oct 30, 2023 Beyond Risk Parity Oct 30, 2023
Oct 23, 2023 Shorting Socialism Oct 23, 2023
Oct 16, 2023 Where are all the defaults? Oct 16, 2023
Oct 9, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part II) Oct 9, 2023
Oct 2, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part I) Oct 2, 2023
Sep 25, 2023 Asset Class CAPM Sep 25, 2023
Sep 18, 2023 What Works in Bank Stocks Sep 18, 2023
Sep 11, 2023 An Update on the Stock-Bond Correlation Sep 11, 2023
Sep 5, 2023 More Bang for Your Buck Sep 5, 2023
Aug 7, 2023 The Top 5 Aug 7, 2023
Jul 31, 2023 Japan in Demand (Sort Of) Jul 31, 2023
Jul 24, 2023 End of an Era? Jul 24, 2023
Jul 17, 2023 Q&A on Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 17, 2023
Jul 10, 2023 Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 10, 2023
Jul 3, 2023 Insurers: The Smart Debt Money Jul 3, 2023
Jun 26, 2023 Sources of Return Jun 26, 2023
Jun 19, 2023 Industry Volatility Jun 19, 2023
Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Dec 11, 2023 The Dispersion Delusion Dec 11, 2023
Dec 4, 2023 The Quality of New Entrants Dec 4, 2023
Nov 20, 2023 Thank You Nov 20, 2023
Nov 13, 2023 The Death of Small Cap Equities? Nov 13, 2023
Nov 6, 2023 A Rule of Thumb for Terminal Valuation Multiples Nov 6, 2023
Oct 30, 2023 Beyond Risk Parity Oct 30, 2023
Oct 23, 2023 Shorting Socialism Oct 23, 2023
Oct 16, 2023 Where are all the defaults? Oct 16, 2023
Oct 9, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part II) Oct 9, 2023
Oct 2, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part I) Oct 2, 2023
Sep 25, 2023 Asset Class CAPM Sep 25, 2023
Sep 18, 2023 What Works in Bank Stocks Sep 18, 2023
Sep 11, 2023 An Update on the Stock-Bond Correlation Sep 11, 2023
Sep 5, 2023 More Bang for Your Buck Sep 5, 2023
Aug 7, 2023 The Top 5 Aug 7, 2023
Jul 31, 2023 Japan in Demand (Sort Of) Jul 31, 2023
Jul 24, 2023 End of an Era? Jul 24, 2023
Jul 17, 2023 Q&A on Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 17, 2023
Jul 10, 2023 Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 10, 2023
Jul 3, 2023 Insurers: The Smart Debt Money Jul 3, 2023
Jun 26, 2023 Sources of Return Jun 26, 2023
Jun 19, 2023 Industry Volatility Jun 19, 2023
Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Nov 13, 2023 The Death of Small Cap Equities? Nov 13, 2023
Nov 6, 2023 A Rule of Thumb for Terminal Valuation Multiples Nov 6, 2023
Oct 30, 2023 Beyond Risk Parity Oct 30, 2023
Oct 23, 2023 Shorting Socialism Oct 23, 2023
Oct 16, 2023 Where are all the defaults? Oct 16, 2023
Oct 9, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part II) Oct 9, 2023
Oct 2, 2023 PIPE-Works and PIPE-Dreams (Part I) Oct 2, 2023
Sep 25, 2023 Asset Class CAPM Sep 25, 2023
Sep 18, 2023 What Works in Bank Stocks Sep 18, 2023
Sep 11, 2023 An Update on the Stock-Bond Correlation Sep 11, 2023
Sep 5, 2023 More Bang for Your Buck Sep 5, 2023
Aug 7, 2023 The Top 5 Aug 7, 2023
Jul 31, 2023 Japan in Demand (Sort Of) Jul 31, 2023
Jul 24, 2023 End of an Era? Jul 24, 2023
Jul 17, 2023 Q&A on Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 17, 2023
Jul 10, 2023 Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 10, 2023
Jul 3, 2023 Insurers: The Smart Debt Money Jul 3, 2023
Jun 26, 2023 Sources of Return Jun 26, 2023
Jun 19, 2023 Industry Volatility Jun 19, 2023
Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Sep 25, 2023 Asset Class CAPM Sep 25, 2023
Sep 18, 2023 What Works in Bank Stocks Sep 18, 2023
Sep 11, 2023 An Update on the Stock-Bond Correlation Sep 11, 2023
Sep 5, 2023 More Bang for Your Buck Sep 5, 2023
Aug 7, 2023 The Top 5 Aug 7, 2023
Jul 31, 2023 Japan in Demand (Sort Of) Jul 31, 2023
Jul 24, 2023 End of an Era? Jul 24, 2023
Jul 17, 2023 Q&A on Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 17, 2023
Jul 10, 2023 Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 10, 2023
Jul 3, 2023 Insurers: The Smart Debt Money Jul 3, 2023
Jun 26, 2023 Sources of Return Jun 26, 2023
Jun 19, 2023 Industry Volatility Jun 19, 2023
Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Jul 10, 2023 Private Equity Operational Improvements Jul 10, 2023
Jul 3, 2023 Insurers: The Smart Debt Money Jul 3, 2023
Jun 26, 2023 Sources of Return Jun 26, 2023
Jun 19, 2023 Industry Volatility Jun 19, 2023
Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Jun 19, 2023 Industry Volatility Jun 19, 2023
Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Jun 12, 2023 Japan's Value Mandate for Reform Jun 12, 2023
Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Jun 5, 2023 Zero-Day Options Jun 5, 2023
May 30, 2023 Private Equity Fundamentals May 30, 2023
May 22, 2023 Optimal Duration May 22, 2023
May 15, 2023 Concentrating on the Best May 15, 2023
May 8, 2023 Diversification or Di-worse-ification? May 8, 2023
May 1, 2023 Revenge of the Turds May 1, 2023
Apr 24, 2023 Swedish Fish Apr 24, 2023
Apr 17, 2023 Bond Market Turmoil Apr 17, 2023
Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2023

Apr 10, 2023 The Banking Crisis Apr 10, 2023
Apr 3, 2023 Viva La Revolución! Apr 3, 2023
Mar 27, 2023 Memory and Probability Mar 27, 2023
Mar 20, 2023 Merger Arbitrage Mar 20, 2023
Mar 13, 2023 Bank Run Mar 13, 2023
Mar 6, 2023 Verdad Research Update Mar 6, 2023
Feb 27, 2023 Stock-Bond Correlations Feb 27, 2023
Feb 21, 2023 Do Stocks Always Outperform Bonds? Feb 21, 2023
Feb 13, 2023 Risk Eats Return Feb 13, 2023
Feb 6, 2023 We Measure What We Can Feb 6, 2023
Jan 30, 2023 After the Darkest Hour Comes the Dawn Jan 30, 2023
Jan 23, 2023 Dot-Com Redux Jan 23, 2023
Jan 17, 2023 Inside the High-Yield Spread Jan 17, 2023
Jan 9, 2023 Navigating Big Debt Crises Jan 9, 2023
Jan 3, 2023 Venture Capital’s Reckoning Looms Closer Jan 3, 2023

2022

Dec 19, 2022 A Sharper Signal Amid the Noise, Part II: Evidence from Europe Dec 19, 2022
Dec 12, 2022 A Sharper Signal Amid the Noise Dec 12, 2022
Dec 5, 2022 Sudden Stops Dec 5, 2022
Nov 28, 2022 MegaThreats Nov 28, 2022
Nov 14, 2022 Thank You Nov 14, 2022
Nov 7, 2022 Persistence of Margins Nov 7, 2022
Oct 31, 2022 The Impact of OPEC Announcements on Oil Prices Oct 31, 2022
Oct 24, 2022 Fair Multiples Oct 24, 2022
Oct 3, 2022 Persistence of Growth Oct 3, 2022
Sep 26, 2022 Yen: Now and Then Again Sep 26, 2022
Sep 19, 2022 Do MBAs Want To Be Billionaires? Sep 19, 2022
Sep 12, 2022 The MBA Indicator Sep 12, 2022
Sep 7, 2022 How to Invest Sep 7, 2022
Aug 29, 2022 Abandoning Diversification Aug 29, 2022
Aug 22, 2022 The Size Factor Aug 22, 2022
Aug 15, 2022 Emerging Market Cycles Aug 15, 2022
Aug 8, 2022 Betting Against Expensive Junk Aug 8, 2022
Aug 1, 2022 Drawdowns and Rallies Aug 1, 2022
Jul 25, 2022 Currency Crashes in Emerging Markets Jul 25, 2022
Jul 18, 2022 What to Buy First Redux Jul 18, 2022
Jul 11, 2022 The Anxious Investor Jul 11, 2022
Jul 5, 2022 Who Owns Sovereign Debt Jul 5, 2022
Jun 27, 2022 Short-Term Momentum and Reversals Jun 27, 2022
Jun 21, 2022 High Yield, High Volatility Jun 21, 2022
Jun 13, 2022 Accosting Transactions Jun 13, 2022
Jun 6, 2022 Where the Money Is Jun 6, 2022
May 31, 2022 Managing Risk When Credit Spreads Rise May 31, 2022
May 23, 2022 Private Equity: Still Overrated and Overvalued? May 23, 2022
May 16, 2022 Crisis Investing in Europe May 16, 2022
May 9, 2022 The Fed & the Bond Market May 9, 2022
May 3, 2022 EM Crisis Investing, a Deeper Dive May 3, 2022
Apr 25, 2022 Homeland Securities Apr 25, 2022
Apr 18, 2022 Confidence Apr 18, 2022
Apr 11, 2022 Risk-Reward in a Hiking Cycle Apr 11, 2022
Apr 4, 2022 Inflation & Lost Decades Apr 4, 2022
Mar 28, 2022 Drivers of Deep Value: International Evidence Mar 28, 2022
Mar 21, 2022 The Loan Engine Mar 21, 2022
Mar 14, 2022 Crypto's Confusing New Landscape Mar 14, 2022
Mar 7, 2022 The Crisis in Turkey Mar 7, 2022
Feb 28, 2022 Japan's Economic Recovery Feb 28, 2022
Feb 22, 2022 King Dollar Feb 22, 2022
Feb 14, 2022 If by Bitcoin Feb 14, 2022
Feb 7, 2022 The Power Law Feb 7, 2022
Jan 31, 2022 Bubble Stock Meltdown Jan 31, 2022
Jan 24, 2022 How to Worry about Duration Jan 24, 2022
Jan 18, 2022 Japan's Empire Builders Jan 18, 2022
Jan 10, 2022 The Perfect Portfolio Jan 10, 2022
Jan 3, 2022 Picking Funds and Indices Jan 3, 2022

2021

Dec 13, 2021 Investing in Banks Dec 13, 2021
Dec 6, 2021 Credit-Driven Asset Price Inflation Dec 6, 2021
Nov 29, 2021 Thank You Nov 29, 2021
Nov 15, 2021 Flipping the Script on FX Nov 15, 2021
Nov 15, 2021 Understanding Systematic FX Strategies Nov 15, 2021
Nov 8, 2021 Whatever Happened to FX? Nov 8, 2021
Nov 1, 2021 The Great Equalizer Part II: Evidence from Europe Nov 1, 2021
Oct 25, 2021 Two Sides of the Coin Oct 25, 2021
Oct 18, 2021 Understanding the Spike in Oil Prices Oct 18, 2021
Oct 12, 2021 Diversification, Correlation, and the Business Cycle Oct 12, 2021
Oct 4, 2021 How Does Quality Work? Oct 4, 2021
Sep 27, 2021 The Efficacy & Cost of Hedging with Options Sep 27, 2021
Sep 20, 2021 A Macro View of Factors Sep 20, 2021
Sep 13, 2021 Verdad's Intern Curriculum Sep 13, 2021
Sep 7, 2021 The Butterfly Effect Sep 7, 2021
Aug 30, 2021 A Whale of a Tail: The Bank of Japan's ETF Hoard Aug 30, 2021
Aug 23, 2021 A Whale of a Tail: The Bank of Japan's ETF Hoard Aug 23, 2021
Aug 16, 2021 Verdad News Aug 16, 2021
Aug 9, 2021 Are Financial Crises Predictable? Aug 9, 2021
Aug 2, 2021 What’s the point of hedge funds? Aug 2, 2021
Jul 26, 2021 Equity Investing in Inflationary Environments Jul 26, 2021
Jul 19, 2021 Trend Following Jul 19, 2021
Jul 12, 2021 Cash and Equivalents Jul 12, 2021
Jun 28, 2021 On Low Treasury Yields Jun 28, 2021
Jun 21, 2021 Doctor Copper Jun 21, 2021
Jun 14, 2021 The Golden Constant Jun 14, 2021
Jun 7, 2021 On Oil Jun 7, 2021
Jun 1, 2021 Factor Investing in Commodities Jun 1, 2021
May 24, 2021 The Rise and Fall of Commodity Indices May 24, 2021
May 17, 2021 The Best Macro Indicator May 17, 2021
May 10, 2021 Weighting on China May 10, 2021
May 3, 2021 The Next Decade in European Value May 3, 2021
Apr 26, 2021 Do Treasurys Still Work? Apr 26, 2021
Apr 19, 2021 Testing a Countercyclical Approach to Asset Allocation Apr 19, 2021
Apr 12, 2021 Designing a Countercyclical Strategy Apr 12, 2021
Apr 5, 2021 Death to the Lost Decade Apr 5, 2021
Mar 29, 2021 Countercyclical Asset Allocation Mar 29, 2021
Mar 22, 2021 Inflation, Overvaluation and the Future of Diversification Mar 22, 2021
Mar 15, 2021 The Economic Recovery in Japan Mar 15, 2021
Mar 8, 2021 On Inflation Mar 8, 2021
Mar 1, 2021 A Strategy for Emerging Market Crises Mar 1, 2021
Feb 22, 2021 Emerging Market Crises Feb 22, 2021
Feb 15, 2021 Emerging Markets: Slow Growth, High Volatility Feb 15, 2021
Feb 8, 2021 Emerging Markets Crisis Investing Feb 8, 2021
Jan 25, 2021 The Grocery Store Puzzle Jan 25, 2021
Jan 19, 2021 Investing in a Bubble Jan 19, 2021
Jan 11, 2021 The Irony of Growth Jan 11, 2021
Jan 4, 2021 Waves in Ship Prices & Investment Jan 4, 2021

2020

Dec 14, 2020 Capturing Excess Returns from Rating Changes Dec 14, 2020
Dec 7, 2020 Forecasting Bond Upgrades and Downgrades Dec 7, 2020
Nov 30, 2020 Beyond Yield Nov 30, 2020
Nov 9, 2020 Horses for Courses Nov 9, 2020
Nov 2, 2020 Post-Crisis Returns in Europe Nov 2, 2020
Oct 26, 2020 The Great Equalizer Oct 26, 2020
Oct 19, 2020 A Quantitative Look at the Movie Business Oct 19, 2020
Oct 13, 2020 COVID & Global Valuations Oct 13, 2020
Oct 5, 2020 FANMAG Envy Oct 5, 2020
Sep 28, 2020 Sales and Distributions Sep 28, 2020
Sep 21, 2020 What's in an Equity Return? Sep 21, 2020
Sep 14, 2020 Why Buffett Bought Japanese Stocks Sep 14, 2020
Sep 8, 2020 The Blunt Ratio (Part 2) Sep 8, 2020
Aug 31, 2020 The Blunt Ratio Aug 31, 2020
Aug 24, 2020 Are Passive ETFs Distorting Prices in Small-Cap Stocks? Aug 24, 2020
Aug 17, 2020 Post-Reorg Equities Aug 17, 2020
Aug 10, 2020 Duration as Leverage Aug 10, 2020
Aug 3, 2020 Discounting, Death, and the Demand for Growth Stocks Aug 3, 2020
Jul 27, 2020 Stranger Things Jul 27, 2020
Jul 20, 2020 The Bubble 500 Jul 20, 2020
Jul 13, 2020 How are Companies Handling the Crisis? Jul 13, 2020
Jul 6, 2020 Will Deficit Spending Lead to Inflation? Jul 6, 2020
Jun 29, 2020 Asset Allocation Beyond the Zero Bound Jun 29, 2020
Jun 22, 2020 Where There Is Room to Run Jun 22, 2020
Jun 15, 2020 No, It's Not a Good Idea Jun 15, 2020
Jun 8, 2020 Where the Risks Aren't Jun 8, 2020
Jun 1, 2020 Tail Risk Hedging Jun 1, 2020
May 26, 2020 Two Centuries of Innovation and Growth May 26, 2020
May 18, 2020 When and How to Take Risk in Bonds May 18, 2020
May 11, 2020 Trend Following in Growth and Value May 11, 2020
May 4, 2020 An Apology for Small-Cap Value May 4, 2020
Apr 27, 2020 When Buffett Was a Quant Apr 27, 2020
Apr 20, 2020 Lend Early and Freely Apr 20, 2020
Apr 13, 2020 Yesterday's Profits Apr 13, 2020
Apr 6, 2020 What's Priced In? Apr 6, 2020
Mar 30, 2020 The Distress Anomaly Mar 30, 2020
Mar 23, 2020 What to Buy First Mar 23, 2020
Mar 16, 2020 Making Good Decisions in Uncertain Times Mar 16, 2020
Mar 9, 2020 Pacific Rift Mar 9, 2020
Mar 2, 2020 Crisis Investing Part IV: What Works in Stocks Mar 2, 2020
Feb 24, 2020 Crisis Investing Part III: What Works by Asset Class Feb 24, 2020
Feb 17, 2020 Crisis Investing Part II: Predictability in Times of Crisis Feb 17, 2020
Feb 10, 2020 Crisis Investing Part I: How to Maximize Returns During Market Panics Feb 10, 2020
Feb 3, 2020 The Rise of Private Credit Feb 3, 2020
Jan 27, 2020 A CCC Opportunity? Jan 27, 2020
Jan 21, 2020 Wrong for the Right Reasons Jan 21, 2020
Jan 13, 2020 Right for the Right Reasons? Jan 13, 2020
Jan 6, 2020 Prosperity Jan 6, 2020

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